The Commercial Space Industry
1. The idea of space tourism really began in the 1960’s.
“During the 1960s, space tourism was viewed of as an industry that would one
day balloon. Defunct U.S. airliner Pan-Am maintained a waiting list for
eventual trips to the moon, while futurists forecasted that lunar colonies
would be established by the year 2000” (Blum, 2015). Space tourism has developed slowly. There have only been 551 people who’ve been
into space, with only seven of them private citizens. The first major
accomplishment was in 1984, when a non-government employee ventured into space
as a payload specialist for McDonnell Douglas. The next major accomplishment
regarding space tourism was in 1998, when Space Adventures was founded. Space
Adventures has been the only company to ever send private citizens into space
at a cost of between $20 million and $40 million for a 10-day adventure and
trip to the international space station. The first major hurdle came in 1986,
when the Challenger ship disintegrated after takeoff, killing everyone onboard,
including a teacher. Another major hurdle to space tourism came in October of
2014, when the Virgin Galactic SpaceShip Two crashed, killing the pilot and injuring
another. This ship was meant to be used for tourism and exploration (Blum, 2015).
2. The first rules developed in the 1980’s started
with the Commercial Space Launch Act of 1984. It was "authored to
facilitate the private enterprise of the commercialization of space and space
technology. The Act recognized the United States private sector as having the
capability to develop commercial launch vehicles, orbital satellites, and
operate private launch sites and services. The Act also assigned the duties of
overseeing and coordinating commercial launches, issuing of licenses and
permits, and promotion of safety standards to the Secretary of Department of
Transportation" (Commercial Space Launch, 2018). This act was passed due to NASA and Congress seeing the private sector as a viable
option for our future space exploration. Since this act was passed, there have
been two amendments to it, one in 1988 signed into law by President Reagan, and
the other in 2004 signed into law by President Bush. These amendments were put
into place to keep up with the advancements in technology and to address issues
not included in the original act. Current requirements and regulations and the
issuance of a commercial space license or experimental permit can be found in
14 CFR chapter III, Part 413.
3. I see space tourism not headed anywhere, at
least for a very long time. For at least the next 50 years, I do not see it as
being a financially accessible activity for the majority of the population. As
launch vehicles are developed to be cheaper to operate and have a capability of
being reused (SpaceX is currently testing this and so far, mostly successful),
the cost to enter space will decrease, but to what cost? I have no idea, but I think
50 years from now, instead of it costing around $20 million as it does
currently, it might cost $100,000-$500,000. This is still out of the question
for ordinary folks, but within the reach of a greater portion of the
population, such as business owners. 50-100 years from now, I definitely see
humans having a base on the moon (or Mars, but if I recall, it gets too hot at
certain times for survival), but still cannot see it being within reach of most
of the population. I see skilled tradespeople and those essential to a modern populace
(such as doctors) being paid to settle the moon. 100-250 years from now is when
I see space exploration being within reach of most of the population, where
family members can take a shuttle to see relatives who have settled on the moon
or another planet, or as a vacation.
4. Current requirements and regulations can be
found in the Commercial Space Launch Amendments Act of 2004. Some specific
requirements include that the “launch vehicle operators to provide certain
safety-related information and identify what an operator must do to conduct a
licensed launch with a human on board. In addition, launch operators are
required to inform passengers of the risks of space travel generally and the
risks of space travel in the operator’s vehicle in particular. These
regulations also include training and general security requirements for space
flight participants.” (New Regulations Govern, 2016)
Finding information about a specific company’s requirements for a tourism pilot
was difficult to say the least, so I am including the requirements to be a
pilot astronaut for NASA, which should be close to other pilots in the
commercial space industry. An astronaut must have a bachelor’s degree in engineering,
biological/physical sciences or mathematics, a minimum of 1,000 hours PIC jet
time, and be able to pass a space physical (Harrison, 2015).
References
Blum,
S. (2015, November 25). A Brief History of Space Tourism. Retrieved February
23, 2018, from https://www.inverse.com/article/8528-the-space-tourism-timeline
Commercial
Space Launch Act of 1984. (2018, February 22). Retrieved February 23, 2018,
from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commercial_Space_Launch_Act_of_1984
Harrison,
A. (2015, October 12). How to Become an Astronaut. Retrieved February 23, 2018,
from http://www.astronautabby.com/how-to-become-an-astronaut-2/
New
Regulations Govern Private Human Space Flight Requirements for Crew and Space
Flight Participants. (2016, December 30). Retrieved February 23, 2018, from
https://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/ast/human_space_flight_reqs/
Great post and I learned a lot!! I disagree with your timeline for space tourism, but I absolutely agree about the cost aspect. I think continuous transportation to space is feasible, but like I stated in my blog and you did in yours, most definitely not for those who aren't financially "well off." Obviously cost is an extremely vital factor, so I think only those who are the wealthiest of the wealthy will be able to utilize the space tourism option, regardless of how soon we integrate this means of transportation to the public.
ReplyDeleteWhich part of the timeline I have specified do you think should be adjusted? I am aware of the current private companies decreasing the cost of spaceflight however, it is still an enormous price for the average person.
DeleteVery good post, but I have to agree with the post above and I personally think your timeline might be a little off, sure we might not see mass moon or mars civilizations for 100+ years from now, but Spacex definitely is disagreeing. As of now, they plan to land cargo all the way to mars in 2022, and in 24 land the first crew members with the BFR (many times bigger than the falcon heavy). Who knows where it may go from there. Spacex just recently launched their falcon heavy rocket that is easily capable of of taking individuals to the moon. This has been this biggest and most powerful rocket man has ever seen, only costing $90 million per launch compared to Saturn V’s $250 million per launch.
ReplyDeleteDo you think my timeline is too optimistic or pessimistic, and which part? As I understand it, SpaceX isn't going to be colonizing planets any time soon and at a cost of $90 million per trip. But, who knows when it'll get to an affordable once in a lifetime price? I sure don't!
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